Friday, 15 August 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
Dollar slips before US data, eyes on Trump-Putin meeting
Friday, 15 August 2025 15:40 WIB | US DOLLAR |DOLLAR

The U.S. dollar slipped on Friday as investors remained cautious about the rate outlook ahead of import price data, after recent figures suggested inflation could accelerate in the coming months.

The yen outperformed the euro and the pound after surprising strong Japanese growth data which showed export volumes held up well against new U.S. tariffs.

All eyes will be on a meeting in Alaska later on Friday between U.S. President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, though hopes of sealing a ceasefire agreement on Ukraine remain uncertain.

U.S. import price figures will be more closely watched than usual after data on Thursday showed a surprisingly sharp jump in U.S. producer prices last month, pushing the dollar higher.

If import prices keep rising, it may signal that U.S. companies are fully absorbing the tariffs, leaving them with two options: pass the costs on to consumers, potentially stoking inflation, or take the hit to profit margins.

Money markets reflect a 95% chance of a 25-basis point Fed rate cut in September. They fully priced a 25-bp cut and a 5% chance of a larger 50-bp move before Thursday's U.S. data.

Markets also await next week's Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the Fed's next move. Signs of weakness in the U.S. labour market combined with inflation from trade tariffs could present a dilemma for the Fed's rate cut trajectory.

The yen was up 0.4% against the dollar at 147.20, helped by data showing Japan's economy grew much faster than expected in the second quarter.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's remarks earlier this week that the Bank of Japan could be "behind the curve" in dealing with the risk of inflation proved to be another tailwind for the yen.

"Although BoJ Governor Ueda, may choose to disregard Bessent's remarks, the Japanese authorities will not want the value of the yen to become more of a concern to the Trump administration than it already is," said Jane Foley senior forex strategist at RaboBank.

The euro rose 0.25% versus the dollar to $1.1675.

Most analysts expect Europe's single currency to benefit from any ceasefire deal in Ukraine.

"The Trump-Putin meeting and any better clarity on the path ahead in the Ukraine conflict have longer-lasting implications for the euro than for the dollar," said Francesco Pesole, forex strategist at ING.

"There is a chance that today might be the first step in the direction of de-escalation, and markets may tread carefully for now," he added.

The pound was up 0.20% against the U.S. currency at $1.3553.

The Australian dollar was up 0.2% versus the greenback at 0.6508.

The Chinese yuan pulled back from a two-week high as weaker-than-expected economic readings weighed on sentiment.

Elsewhere, Bitcoin and ether rose after dropping about 4% each on Thursday. Bitcoin had at one point touched a record high on Thursday on shifting Fed rate-cut expectations.

Source: Investing.com

RELATED NEWS
Dollar steady near multi-week lows as Fed rate-cut bets build, yen rises ...
Thursday, 14 August 2025 16:00 WIB

The U.S. dollar rose slightly against other major currencies on Thursday, but stayed close to multi-week lows as bets that the Federal Reserve will resume cutting interest rates next month ticked high...

Stocks take a breather, Fed rate-cut drumbeat weighs on dollar...
Thursday, 14 August 2025 12:29 WIB

The U.S. dollar was under pressure on Thursday as traders piled into wagers that the Federal Reserve will resume cutting interest rates next month, powering bitcoin to a record high, while a blisterin...

Dollar slips to two-week low as investors eye Fed cut ...
Wednesday, 13 August 2025 18:52 WIB

The dollar fell to a two-week low on Wednesday after a tame reading on U.S. inflation bolstered expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next month, with President Donald Trump's attempts to extend ...

US Dollar slumps below 98.00 as Fed rate cut odds rise, Fedspeak awaited ...
Wednesday, 13 August 2025 15:39 WIB

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is extending its losses for the second successive session and trading around 97.80 during the E...

Dollar Strengthens as Traders Await Fed Comments: Behind the G-10 ...
Wednesday, 13 August 2025 11:04 WIB

The dollar index strengthened as traders awaited comments from Federal Reserve officials for further clues on central bank policy after low inflation figures raised expectations for an interest rate c...

LATEST NEWS
US Retail Sales Rise as Expected

Retail sales in the US increased 0.5% month-over-month in July 2025, in line with market expectations and following an upwardly revised 0.9% rise in June. The largest increases were seen in sales at motor vehicle & parts dealers (1.6%) and...

Oil falls ahead of Trump-Putin summit in Alaska

Oil prices fell on Friday as traders awaited talks between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin, which some expect could lead to an easing of the sanctions imposed on Moscow over the Ukraine war. Brent crude futures fell...

Trump and Putin Have Different Ideas of Success at Alaska Summit

Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will measure success at their summit in Alaska very differently, even as both leaders are already looking toward a second meeting. The US president sees any kind of ceasefire in Ukraine as a key...

POPULAR NEWS
Australia jobs report preview: Unemployment rate set to edge lower as job creation recovers
Thursday, 14 August 2025 06:02 WIB

Australia will release its July monthly employment report on Thursday at 1:30 GMT, following the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision to trim...

US Retail Sales Expected to Rise Further in July, Ahead of Tariff Hikes
Friday, 15 August 2025 13:06 WIB

The U.S. Census Bureau will release the country's Retail Sales report on Friday. Market analysts expect headline Retail Sales to grow 0.5% monthly...

Bessent Urges Fed to Start Steep Rate Cuts in September
Thursday, 14 August 2025 08:43 WIB

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Wednesday that short-term interest rates should be 1.5 to 1.75 percentage points lower than current...

European Stocks Close Sharply
Wednesday, 13 August 2025 23:51 WIB

European stocks closed sharply higher on Wednesday, their highest in two weeks as the outlook of lower interest rates in the United States and the...